Tropical Storm Vance strengthens offshore

Tropical Storm Vance strengthened and moved slightly westward in a few hours. It was moving west-northwest at 11 kilometers per hour. A bulletin issued at 0300 UTC on Thursday, October 22, 2026, placed the storm’s center near latitude 9.6 north and longitude 100.7 west.

At 15:00 hours, Vance was 835 kilometers from Acapulco; the 21:00 report on October 21 placed its center 815 kilometers south of Acapulco, Guerrero. Conagua said Vance did not affect Mexican territory at that time because of its distance. The SMN said the storm posed no danger to Mexican national territory, and no coastal alerts had been issued in the latest report.

For visitors in Puerto Vallarta and Bahía de Banderas, there were no notices or monitoring areas related to Vance for the coasts of Jalisco and Nayarit. Cyclone forecasts can change from one report to the next, especially for systems that intensify rapidly.

Some media outlets reported earlier, faster scenarios in which Vance would reach Category 1 on Thursday. The forecast called for Category 1 in the early hours of Friday, October 23, while the latest forecast indicated that it could reach Category 3 on October 24. Those earlier calculations were made before the system formed and have changed. Reports therefore differ on the timing and strength of the possible intensification: one projection called for Category 1 early Friday, while another indicated Category 3 on October 24. A Category 3 hurricane is considered a major hurricane.

The wind-speed probability table gives percentages and covers the next five days.